World population estimates from 1800 to 2100, based on high, medium and low united nations projections in 2010 colored red, orange and green and us census bureau historical estimates in black. Although this segment of the population will continue to expand. Our population statistics come from decennial censuses, which count the entire u. The united states is projected to become a plurality nation by 2043. Increase in 90andolder population by the 2030s silver book. These files are designed for people interested in obtaining detailed data of the population projections for analytical purposes, and are available in csv. Actual recorded population figures as of 2010 are colored in blue. Census bureau projects that the 85 and over population could grow from 5. Department of commerce 21 red columns represent population estimates for 1990. In 1998, the census bureau reported that 96% of the worlds population increase was occurring in africa, asia, and latin america. Census bureau recently released its first set of u. Fertility rates tend to fall in response to a bad economy. Census bureau is the leading source of statistical information about the nations people. Oct 11, 2016 acbj has generated population projections for 933 metropolitan and micropolitan areas, based on raw data from the u.
Census bureaus 2030 population projections for 50 states and. Population projections are produced with the general assumption that statespecific trends in fertility, mortality, domestic migration, and international migration will continue. This could have profound implications for the environment and quality of life in the. Constitution mandates that a census be taken every 10 years to count all peopleboth citizens and noncitizensliving in the united states. What america will look like decades from now governing. According to the highest estimate, the world population may rise to 16.
Minorities in us set to become majority by 2042 the new york times. These datasets feature 2017 national population projections for the main series and alternative migration scenarios. The base population by single year of age and sex was carried forward from april 1, 2000 the reference date for census 2000 to july 1, 2000 by interpolating the population between census 2000 and the projected 2001 population. While these are the most accurate data available, they tell us only about the past.
This is somewhat more growth than has been suggested for michigan by prior projections, but it is much lower than the 24% growth projected for the us as a whole during this period. Census bureau releases interim population projections of the resident population of the united states based on census 2000 counts. The older population is projected to nearly double, growing from 43 million in 2012 to 84 million in 2050. Population projections tables the united states census. According to census bureau projections, beginning in 2020, the majority of the nations children will be part of a group other than nonhispanic white. The us census bureau population estimates program publishes annual estimates of current population down to the city and town level. Older adults are projected to outnumber kids beginning in 2035. Even during the 19822030 period, population growth in the. Population projections datasets the united states census. Because of longer life spans and aging baby boomers, the u. Community design whats happening now whats next books podcasts. The growth of the 65andolder population in the united states impacts many facets of our society. We are hiring thousands of people for the 2020 census.
The projections for 2001, 2002, and 2003 were compared with the. National population projections weldon cooper center for. Dec 19, 20 the census bureau only develops population projections for the u. State interim population projections by age and sex. The interim state population projections were prepared to be consistent with the interim united states u.
The population projections developed by researchers at u. The serbian population refers only to that of the residual yugoslav republic under that name, after secession of montenegro crna gora and, more recently, kosovo the latter being recognized as an independent state by the united states government on 18 february 2008, the us census bureau reflects the resulting demographic change. Projected percent of us population aged 65 and older. Get more details increase in 65 and older population, 2003 to 2030. The base population derives from the census bureau s vintage 2016 p opulation estimates, which are based on the 2010 census u. This post was updated on september 10, 2018 with census bureau. In accordance with national planning needs, the central statistical office cso with technical input and support of the united states census bureau have undertaken to produce these sets of national, provincial and district level population and demographic projections covering the period 20112035. Census tract demographics are used in wideranging public and private sector applications to examine patterns and characteristics of subcounty areas. Additional projections files are available in the tables section.
They are typically based on an estimated population consistent with the most recent. The projections were produced for each of the 50 states and the district of columbia by age and sex for the years 2001 to 2030, based on census 2000 results, and the general assumption that recent statespecific trends in fertility, mortality, domestic migration, and international migration will. The base po pulation for the 2017 national population projections derives from the census bureau s vi ntage 2016 estimates of the resident population on july 1, 2016. Aug, 2008 the united states is projected to reach the 400 million population milestone in 2039, according to bureau projections. This is particularly evident in the census bureaus projections for the 45 to 64 age group. Census bureau, population division, population projections branch. Projections of population growth of united states 2030 united states population. Beginning that year, all baby boomers will be older than 65. The census bureaus old preferred series projections that were released in 1996. Census projects new majority minority tipping points. Population projections the united states census bureau. County estimates for 2020, 2025, 2030, 2040, and 2050.
Country name population in 2030 difference with 2020. Observations on the census bureaus state population projections. The population of the united states will get older, even if the nation has high levels of immigration, suggest two reports from the u. This graph shows population projections for the united states of america from 2015 to 2060, by age group. It is estimated that by 2030, planos other population will surpass 22% of the overall population, hispanic will be just over 19%, while the white community will be just over 50%. Additional projections files are available in the datasets section. Census bureau interim population projections for states by age and sex. New census population projections confirm the importance of racial. Population projections are estimates of the population for future dates. Mar 14, 2018 by 2030, all baby boomers will be older than 65, and the census bureau projects that will grow the size of the older population so much that 1 in 5 people in the u. Population of united states 2030 and united states. Census bureau, 2012 population estimates and 2012 national projections. By 2030, one in five americans is projected to be 65 and over.
Aging in the united states our population bulletin, aging in the united states, examines recent trends and disparities among adults ages 65 and older, and how baby boomers. These population projections for the nation overall, and for all 50 states and the district of columbia, were produced and released by the weldon cooper center, demographics research group in december 2018. Census bureau, detail changes between 2020 and 2040 in overall population and. Census bureau and the university of virginias weldon cooper center for. In 2060, the estimated population of residents of the u. Population projections 2004 2030 by state, age and sex. The year 2030 marks a demographic turning point for the united states. Percent change in population by region of the united states, 2000 to 2030. Population projections for 2020 to 2060 census bureau. Projections of population growth of other countries 2030. The july 1, 2000 population was then used as a base to project the population in future years.
The us will become minority white in 2045, census projects. Population projections datasets may also be accessed via the census bureau application programming interface api. For both current estimates and projections, the census bureau uses a topdown approach. Ethnic and racial minorities will comprise a majority of the population of the united. Population projections the us census bureau population projections program creates future population projections in fiveyear intervals through the year 2030 of the resident population for the united states and for. The projections, which were produced using the most recent population estimates and census data from the u. The projections suggest changes to be expected in overall population and in subgroups by age, sex, race and hispanic origin.
The latest 2017 official population estimates provide important information about state demographic change since 2010. May 26, 2019 immigration already accounted for almost half of population growth in the u. They are typically based on an estimated population consistent with the most recent decennial census and are produced using the cohortcomponent method. The united states has undergone an urban population revolution since 1950, the first year that urban areas were designated by the us census bureau. Aug 14, 2008 while the census bureaus press release accompanying its new population projections emphasizes the importance of the countrys changing racial composition, this is almost certainly not the most important finding.
Projections for 20102030 summary a new pew forum report on the size, distribution and growth of the global muslim population finds that the worlds muslim population is expected to increase by about 35% in the next 20 years, but it is expected to grow at a slower pace in the next two decades than it did in the previous two decades. Demographics government information research guides at. Population of united states 2030 and united states population. In 2017, the united nations projected that these same areas would account for most population increases through 2050. These tables present the results of the population projections in summary form by various characteristics to facilitate access to the data. Census bureaus 2030 population projections for 50 states. Dec 30, 2015 2030 msa population predictions, general u. Nov 19, 2019 population projections 2004 2030 by state, age and sex. Census bureau, detail changes between 2020 and 2040 in overall population and in subgroups by age and sex. The models and assumptions are disaggregated by race and by hispanic origin, as are many projection models e. Population and immigration data, projections and graphs. The cooper center projections have been widely used by many federal agencies and states. List of countries by past and estimated future population. By 2060, one fourth of us population will be over age 65.
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